Thursday, January 28, 2010

Outside Day on 20-Day Low

The historical tendency played out nicely today. SPY made 20-day low on expanded volatility forming a outside day. I did a quick check on the historical stats on 20-day low made by outside day.

Since 2002, there have been 19 such instances. 15 instances close higher with an average of 0.70% and 4 instance close lower for average -1.34%.

My interpretation is that market has high tendency to consolidate, but if it does not, weakness ensues.

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